- vs 30 days ago
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- vs 1 year ago
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- Indicators live
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Slow-moving damage: debt, interest burden, currency debasement, wealth gaps. This is the fuel.
Fast-moving stress: credit spreads, volatility, layoffs, oil shocks, news. This is the spark.
Playbook
What the numbers above point to right now. Rules-based signals recomputed every hour, not personal financial advice.
Household moves
Portfolio tilts
Tripwires: what would change the call
How today compares to 2000–now
Monthly rebuild of the macro core (indicators with long public histories) using only data that was published at the time. Hover to inspect.
Show as table
The six pillars
Each pillar averages its indicators. The headline score weights them: debt 25%; money, markets and internal order 20% each; energy and sentiment 7.5% each.
Every indicator
Raw reading → stress score through a fixed curve anchored on US history. Sparklines show the last 3 years of the reading. marks indicators in the historical macro core.
Markets tape
Context, not scored directly. Prices come from the latest refresh (hourly).
What the world’s press is saying
Latest stories from the last 24 hours on debt, the Fed, oil, war and unrest (Google News). Tone and coverage scores come from GDELT.